Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.352549 5.019806 5.752833 6.617569 7.609580 8.711836 10.029442
2024-12-29 3.601445 4.515669 5.603625 6.992682 8.718314 10.791111 13.470175
2025-01-05 3.013483 4.065603 5.408354 7.245236 9.690986 12.834226 17.181092
2025-01-12 2.493490 3.593636 5.088850 7.265111 10.348317 14.557424 20.740176
2025-01-19 1.984796 3.038796 4.556107 6.893116 10.396633 15.449211 23.288302
2025-01-26 1.763793 2.852457 4.503354 7.179459 11.400999 17.796842 28.219677
2025-02-02 1.630552 2.772930 4.589876 7.676217 12.776827 20.859882 34.634880
2025-02-09 1.455365 2.594463 4.488904 7.850816 13.653529 23.242654 40.279047
2025-02-16 1.295580 2.414173 4.354073 7.940743 14.388128 25.467659 45.931544
2025-02-23 1.117365 2.171852 4.074963 7.733545 14.568914 26.758992 50.117702
2025-03-02 0.948028 1.918498 3.737867 7.367874 14.403431 27.400417 53.190117
2025-03-09 0.864206 1.815933 3.664572 7.482904 15.140543 29.757307 59.716241
2025-03-16 0.754439 1.648349 3.449632 7.305823 15.317076 31.133879 64.653428
2025-03-23 0.718156 1.627783 3.525146 7.726055 16.747178 35.130205 75.325547
2025-03-30 0.671927 1.578555 3.534379 8.008945 17.931946 38.783439 85.780292
2025-04-06 0.609501 1.483197 3.431256 8.033558 18.566551 41.374702 94.328196
2025-04-13 0.523351 1.319029 3.152431 7.624510 18.184945 41.744273 98.073086
2025-04-20 0.496955 1.293809 3.186557 7.941639 19.499203 46.000492 111.100384
2025-04-27 0.486471 1.306346 3.310993 8.490744 21.431046 51.887069 128.648206
2025-05-04 0.455715 1.262117 3.291510 8.683921 22.528311 55.967056 142.421295
2025-05-11 0.422977 1.207417 3.238064 8.783461 23.405470 59.626517 155.631344
2025-05-18 0.378076 1.112379 3.067602 8.554839 23.413436 61.158976 163.710767
2025-05-25 0.330940 1.003255 2.844001 8.151147 22.904006 61.322161 168.275470